THE INFLUENCE OF NATURAL FACTORS ON THE LANDSCAPE FIRE AREAS IN REGIONS OF INTENSIVE OIL AND GAS DEVELOPMENT IN THE YAMAL-NENETS AUTONOMOUS AREA.

Using correlation analysis and multiple regression methods, the authors have obtained quantitative estimates of the impact of natural and climatic factors on the fire areas in the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Area from 2005 to 2024. The fire areas in the oil and gas region of the Russian Arctic have increased by 70% over the past decade, especially in the forest-tundra region, exceeding the flammability in the northern taiga and southern tundra many times over. A decrease in atmospheric moisture and an increase in the number of days without precipitation during the fire-hazardous period explain 99.5% of fire area changes in the forest-tundra of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Area.

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