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Home Archive of journals Issue 2(30) 2018 n registration of ice navigation risks along the Northeast Passage

N REGISTRATION OF ICE NAVIGATION RISKS ALONG THE NORTHEAST PASSAGE

JOURNAL: 2018, 2(30), p. 125-130

RUBRIC: Safety of human activities in the Arctic

AUTHORS: V.P. Tripolnikov

ORGANIZATIONS: State Research Center "Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute"

DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2018-2-125-130

UDC: 551.326+626(005)

The article was received on: 10.01.2018

Keywords: probability, ice, danger, obstacle, communication, unpredicted encounter, ice navigation safety, informational entropy, risk factor

Bibliographic description: V.P. Tripolnikov n registration of ice navigation risks along the Northeast Passage. The Arctic: ecology and economy, 2018, no. 2(30), pp. 125-130. DOI:10.25283/2223-4594-2018-2-125-130. (In Russian).


ANNOTATION:

The article is dedicated to the problem of registering the quality of ice navigation safety along the Northeast Passage and contains methodical recommendations for risk registration. Informational entropy of random events is accepted as quantitative estimate of risk of icy obstacles. Based on the work classification [5] the calculations risk values of statistic models for icy obstacles is given. Options of minimum the risks of unpredicted encounters through improved accuracy of messages are discussed. These measures may allow to create a database of ice obstacle risks which can serve as a basis for navigation risks estimate. The recommendations can be implemented in estimates and forecasts of expenditures on safety in ice navigation.


Reference:
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  4. Lebedev G. A., Tripol’nikov V. P. Informatsionnyi analiz obstanovki na akvatorii dlya opredeleniya kachestva monitoringa i riska stolknoveniya ledyanykh obrazovanii s morskim sooruzheniem. [The informational analysis of situation in the sea region to assess the monitoring quality and to determine the risk of collision between ice formations and sea infrastructure]. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2012, no. 2, pp. 72—77. (In Russian).
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DOI 10.25283/2223-4594