Home JOURNAL HEADINGS Author Index SUBJECT INDEX INDEX OF ORGANIZATIONS Article Index
 
Arctic: ecology and economy
ISSN 2223-4594 | ISSN 2949-110X
Advanced
Search
RuEn
ABOUT|EDITORIAL|INFO|ARCHIVE|FOR AUTHORS|SUBSCRIBE|CONTACTS
Home Archive of journals Volume 14, No. 1, 2024 Ice cover of the Russian Arctic seas along the Northern sea route in the current climatic period

ICE COVER OF THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC SEAS ALONG THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE IN THE CURRENT CLIMATIC PERIOD

JOURNAL: Volume 14, No. 1, 2024, p. 135-146

HEADING: Problems of the Northern Sea Route

AUTHORS: Timofeeva, A.B., Yulin, A.V., Ivanov, V.V., Sharatunova, M.V., Pavlova, E.A.

ORGANIZATIONS: State Research Center "Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute"

DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2024-1-135-146

UDC: 551.326.1:551.383.(268.52)

The article was received on: 30.11.2023

Keywords: Northern Sea Route, NSR, ice coverage, Russian Arctic seas, seasonal course of ice cover, reduction of ice cover, ice-free period duration increase

Bibliographic description: Timofeeva, A.B., Yulin, A.V., Ivanov, V.V., Sharatunova, M.V., Pavlova, E.A. Ice cover of the Russian Arctic seas along the Northern sea route in the current climatic period. Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika. [Arctic: Ecology and Economy], 2024, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 135-146. DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2024-1-135-146. (In Russian).


Abstract:

The paper considers the ice cover in the Arctic seas of the Northern Sea Route (NSR): Kara, Laptev, East Siberian and Chukchi since 1946. A comparison of the long-term course of integral average annual air temperature anomalies and seasonal average ice cover anomalies allows identifying a year 2005, starting from which the sea ice cover sharply decreases in a good agreement with the increase and accumulation of positive air temperature anomalies. The researchers reveal that the average level of ice cover has decreased by 1.7 times since 2005, however, the values of the range of fluctuations and standard deviation have remained almost unchanged, i.e. ice cover fluctuates in the same range, but at a lower average level. The main shipping routes are cleared about three decades earlier. The repeatability of complete cleansing of the seas has increased to 60—90%.


Finance info: The work was carried out within the framework of the CSTP program no. 5.1.2 Development of existing and development of new methods and technologies for long-term (monthly and seasonal) forecasting of elements of the ice-hydrological regime of the Arctic seas, lower reaches and estuaries of rivers in conditions of climate change

References:

1. Stroeve J. C., Serreze M. C., Holland M. M. et al. The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis. Climatic Change, 2012, vol. 110, pp. 1005—1027. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1.

2. Comiso J. J. Large decadal decline of the arctic multiyear ice cover. J. of Climate, 2012, vol. 25, pp. 1176—1193. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00113.1.

3. Petty A. A., Stroeve J. C., Holland P. R. et al. The Arctic sea ice cover 2016: a year of record-low highs and higher-than-expected lows. The Cryosphere, 2018, vol. 12 (2), pp. 433—453. Available at: http://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-433-2018.

4. Alekseev G. V., Aleksandrov E. I., Glok N. I. et al. Arctic Sea Ice Cover in Connection with Climate Change. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2015, vol. 51, no. 9, pp. 889—902. Available at: https://doi:10.1134/S0001433815090029. (In Russian).

5. Alekseev G. V., Danilov A. I., Katcov V. M. et al. Changes in the Climate and Sea Ice of the Northern Hemisphere in the 20th and 21st Centuries from Data of Observations and Modeling. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2009, vol. 45, no. 6, pp. 723—735. Available at: https://doi: 10.1134/S0001433809060012. (In Russian).

6. Matveeva T. A., Semenov V. A., Astafieva E. S. The ice extent in the Arctic Seas and its relation to the surface air temperature in the northern hemisphere. Ice and Snow, 2020, 60 (1). Available at: https://doi.org/10.31857/S2076673420010029. (In Russian).

7. Frolov I. E., Gudkovich Z. M., Karklin V. P. et al. Scientific research in the Arctic. Vol. 2. Climatic changes in the ice cover of the Eurasian shelf seas. St. Petersburg, Nauka, 2007, 136 p. (In Russian).

8. Sherstyukov B. G. Regional and seasonal patterns of changes in the modern climate. VNIIGMI-MDC. Obninsk, 2008, 247 p. (In Russian).

9. Ivanov V. V., Alekseyenkov G. A., Korzhikov A. Ya. On improvement of the microcirculation method for long-range weather forecasting in the Kara Sea. Hydrometeorological research and Forecasts (Trudy Hydrometcentra Rossii), 2018,  4 (370), pp. 105—121. (In Russian).

10. Yulin A. V., Timofeeva A. B., Pavlova E. A. et al. Interannual and seasonal changes the ice cover in the Russian Arctic seas in the modern climatic period. Proceedings of the VI All-Russian Conference on Applied Oceanography. Trudy GOIN, 2019, no. 220, pp. 44—60. (In Russian).

11. Kwok R., Cunningham G. F., Wensnahan M. et al. Thinning and volume loss of the Arctic Ocean sea ice cover: 2003—2008. J. of Geophysical Research, 2009, vol. 114, no. C07005. Available at: https://doi:10.1029/2009JC005312.

12. Ivanov V. V., Alekseev V. A., Alekseeva T. A. et al. Does Arctic Ocean Ice Cover Become Seasonal? Issledovanie Zemli iz Kosmosa, 2013, no. 4, pp. 50—65. Available at: https://doi:10.7868/S0205961413040076. (In Russian).

13. Vinogradnyaya E. S., Egorova E. S., Sheveleva T. V. et al. Variability of the spring old ice and fall residual ice boundary in the Arctic Ocean over the current period of climate changes. Russian Arctic, 2020, no. 9, pp. 41—55. Available at: https://doi:10.24411/2658-4255-2020-12094. (In Russian).

14. Egorov A. G., Pavlova E. A. Change in the time of stable ice formation in the Russian Eastern Arctic seas at the beginning of 21st century. Arctic and Antarctic Research, 2019, 65 (4), pp. 389—404. Available at: https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2019-65-4-389-404. (In Russian).

15. Stroeve J. C., Markus T., Boisvert L. et al. Changes in Arctic melt season and implications for sea ice loss. Geophysical Research Letters, 2014, vol. 41 (4), pp. 1216—1225. Available at: https://doi:10.1002/2013GL058951.

16. Dumanskaya I. O. Ice conditions of the seas of the Asian part of Russia. Moscow, IG-SOCIN, 2017, 640 p. (In Russian).

17. Serreze M. C., Stroeve J., Barrett A. P. et al. Summer atmospheric circulation anomalies over the Arctic Ocean and their influences on September sea ice extent: A cautionary tale. Geophys. J. Res. Atmos., 2016, vol. 121, pp. 11463—11485. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025161.

18. Tretyakov V. Yu., Frolov S. V., Sarafanov M. I. The variability of ice conditions along the northern sea route for the period 1997—2018. Arctic and Antarctic Research, 2019, no. 65 (3), pp. 328—340. Available at: https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2019-65-3-328-340. (In Russian).

19. Russian Arctic Seas in the modern climatic conditions. Ed. by I. M. Ashik. St. Petersburg, AARI, 2021, 360 p. (In Russian).

20. Archive of the World Sea Ice Data Center. Available at: http://wdc.aari.ru. (In Russian).

21. Archive of the World Data Center for Hydrometeorological Information of the State Institution “VNIIGMI-WCD”. Available at: http://meteo.ru. (In Russian).

22. Manual for the accomplishment of ice air reconnaissance. Leningrad, Gidrometeoizdat, 1981. (In Russian).

23. Borodachev V. Ye., Shilnikov V. I. History of ice air reconnaissance in the Arctic and on the freezing seas of Russia (1914-1993). St. Petersburg, Gidrometeoizdat, 2002. (In Russian).

24. Seas of the Soviet Arctic. Ed by Yu. Vize. Moscow; Leningrad, Glavsevmorput’, 1948, 418 p. (In Russian).

25. The boundaries of the oceans and seas. Leningrad, 1960. (In Russian).

26. 1989—2017. Sea ice Nomenclature. WMO, no. 259.

27. Karklin V. P., Yulin A. V., Karelin I. D. et al. Climatic fluctuations of ice cover extent in the Siberian shelf Arctic seas. Trudy AANII. [Proc. AARI], 2001, vol. 443, pp. 5—11. (In Russian).

28. Ashik I. M., Ivanov V. V., Kassens H. et al. General results of Arctic Ocean oceanological studies in the last decade. Arctic and Antarctic Research, 2015, no. 1 (103), pp. 42—56. (In Russian).

29. Girs A. A. Fundamentals of long-term weather forecasts. Leningrad, Gidrometeoizdat, 1960. 560 p. (In Russian).

30. Gudkovich Z. M., Karklin V. P., Mironov E. U. et al. Development of ice and weather conditions in the Arctic during 2007—2013. Arctic and Antarctic Research, 2013, no. 96 (2), pp. 90—102. (In Russian).

31. Egorov A. G. The Russian Arctic seas ice age composition and thickness variation in winter periods at the beginning of the 21st century. Arctic and Antarctic Research, 2020, no. 66 (2), pp. 124—143. Available at: https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2020-66-2-124-143. (In Russian).

32. Rules of navigation in the waters of the Northern Sea Route. Ministry of Transport of Russia. Moscow, 2020. (In Russian).


Download »


© 2011-2024 Arctic: ecology and economy
DOI 10.25283/2223-4594