METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATING GREEN-HOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FROM SHIPS MOVING IN ICE

Vasekha M. V., Vasileva Zh. V., Belukhin A. I., Alekseeva T. A., May R. I.

Murmansk Arctic University (Murmansk, Russian Federation)
Kola Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Apatity, Russian Federation)
Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation)
Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russian Federation)
Saint Petersburg State University (Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation)

The article was received on July 15, 2025

Bibliographic description: Vasekha M. V., Vasileva Zh. V., Belukhin A. I., Alekseeva T. A., May R. I. Methodology for estimating green-house gas emissions from ships moving in ice. Arctic: Ecology and Economy, 2026, vol. 16, no. 1. (In Russian).

Abstract  

The article presents a methodology for estimating greenhouse gas emissions by vessels navigating in the Arctic waters, both in open water and in the ice cover. The methodology is based on the combination of AIS data and ice charts with subsequent quantitative assessment of ice cover resistance to vessel movement. The proposed methodological tools ensure high accuracy in determining the emission load, including the specifics of navigation in Arctic waters, taking into account the dynamic characteristics of the ice situation. To verify the methodology, the annual greenhouse gas volumes for the vessels of the “Novy Port” project for 2024 calculated using the developed methodology have been compared with the emission volumes calculated based on the actually consumed bunker fuel.

Keywords: Arctic shipping, ice navigation vessels, greenhouse gases, Northern Sea Route, AIS data, ice charts

Funding:  The work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, project no. 25-27-20102.

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